REPUBLICAN – Scott Wilk
House +66 for GOP
Senate +9 for GOP (Could be GOP +10 if tidal wave is large enough to carry Carly over the finish line.)
Governorships – GOP will end the night with 32 governorships including 7 out of the 10 largest states in America
California (State-wide) – Cooley and Maldonado will win.
California local – All CLWA incumbents win
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Democrat – BRUCE MCFARLAND’S PREDICTIONS
National Predictions:
Dems will hold the U.S. Senate with Boxer (D-CA) winning by 5 points,
Manchin (D-WV) winning by2 points,
Murray (D-WA) winning by 2,000 votes,
and McAdams (D-AK) winning because people cannot spell Murkowski,
resulting in Dems 51 and Reps 49
Reps will take House resulting in 226 Reps and 209 Dems
Sorry, but I haven’t really studied the Governor’s except for JERRY
California Predictions:
Senator Barbara Boxer by 5 points
House of Representatives:
CD 27: Brad Sherman (D)
CD 28: Howard L. Berman (D)
CD 29: Adam B. Schiff (D)
CD 30: Henry A. Waxman (D)
State Offices:
Gov. Jerry Brown (D) by 11 points
Lt. Gov. Newsom (D) by 7.5 points
Secretary of State: Debra Bowen (D) by 10 points
Controller: John Chiang (D) by 9 points
Treasurer: Bill Lockyer (D) by 13 points
Insurance Commissioner: Dave Jones (D) by 5 points
Superintendent of Public Instruction: Tom Torlakson (D) BY 9 points
County Assessor: John R. Noguez
State Senate:
SD 20: Alex Padilla (D)
State Assembly:
AD 36: Linda K. Jones (D)
AD 37: Ferial Masry (D)
AD 39: Felipe Fuentes (D)
AD 40: Bob Blumenfield (D)
AD 41: Julia Brownley (D)
AD 42: Mike Feuer (D)
AD 43: Mike Gatto (D)
Propositions:
Prop 19: FAILS — Marijuana use decriminalization under California law for those 21 and older
Prop 20: PASSES — Congressional Redistricting. Transfers authority for redistricting U.S. House seats to the 14-member redistricting commission created by Prop 11 passed in 2008.
Prop 21: PASSES — Surcharge for Parks and Wildlife. Establishes $18 annual vehicle license surcharge to help fund state parks and wildlife programs
Prop 22: PASSES — Local Government Funds. Prohibits the state from borrowing or taking funds used for transportation, redevelopment, or local government projects and services
Prop 23: FAILS — Suspends Air Pollution Control Law (AB 32) implementation until such time as unemployment has been 5.5 percent or less for at least one year.
Prop 24: PASSES — Repeals Corporate Tax Breaks. Repeals recent legislation that resulted in huge tax breaks for large corporations.
Prop 25: PASSES — Majority Vote for Budget. Changes legislative vote requirement necessary to pass a state budget from 2/3 to a simple majority.
Prop 27: FAILS — Eliminates State Redistricting Commission — Eliminates the 14- member state redistricting commission created by Prop 11 (2008).
