Poll finds broad public confidence that the U.S. is prevailing in the fight with Iran, with majorities backing tough conditions for any deal.
The new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, conducted April 23-26, 2026, reports that 74 percent of respondents think America is winning the war with Iran. The survey polled 2,745 registered voters online and breaks down attitudes across party, policy, and strategic questions. Those high-level numbers show a public that believes firmness is paying off.
GOP voters stood out: 69 percent said the country is on the right track, while only 19 percent of Democrats and 22 percent of independents agreed. Voters listed inflation and affordability as their top concerns, followed by restoring basic American values and immigration. Economic worries still drive how people judge foreign policy and leadership.
On specific policies tied to the president, respondents highlighted cutting prescription drug costs for Medicare and low-income patients, deporting illegal aliens who committed crimes, and rooting out government waste and fraud. Those items rank as the most popular policies attributed to the administration. They help explain why many voters trust the current leadership on security matters.
Poll: Majority in U.S. Think America Winning in War With Iran (Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll) April 23-26, 2026
74% think the U.S. is winning in the war with Iran, including 60% of Democrats, 91% of Republicans, and 70% of Independents. pic.twitter.com/6jHng5NCnO
— Mark Dubowitz (@mdubowitz) May 3, 2026
About 74 percent said it is in the U.S. interest to stop Iran from getting a nuclear weapon, and roughly the same share said they support Israel over Hamas. Nearly 80 percent said the president was right to agree to a ceasefire, while 57 percent backed the decision to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. Those figures show broad backing for actions designed to protect American and allied security.
Responses among people who follow the conflict closely were revealing: 34 percent think Iran has lost nuclear capability, while 65 percent said Iran is working to rebuild that capability. Over half of those close followers supported the military airstrikes in Iran, with 44 percent opposed. That split highlights how information and proximity to the story shape views on force and deterrence.
Voters also expressed strong support for firm negotiating conditions. Nearly 80 percent said Iran must stop supporting terror proxies like Hezbollah and Hamas, and 78 percent said Iran must stop executing protesters. Seventy-five percent said Iran must recognize Israel’s right to exist before any deal is acceptable. Those are nonnegotiable points for a large chunk of the electorate.
Other conditions drew similar majorities: about 74 percent said Iran must cede control of the Strait of Hormuz and never block ships or charge tolls. Seventy-two percent said Iran must be limited in its ballistic missile production, and 71 percent said Iran should give up the right to enrich uranium and surrender existing enriched material. Those items map directly to hard security guarantees voters want.
Roughly two out of three respondents said the president should insist on all of those points to reach a deal, and 54 percent said the U.S. currently holds the upper hand in negotiations. The public mood favors leverage and strict, verifiable commitments rather than soft bargains. That stance reflects a desire for clear outcomes and accountable enforcement.
Across the board, the poll shows a public that prizes security and decisive action, with economic issues still shaping perceptions of leadership. Voters credit strong policy moves when they see measurable results and believe those actions reduce future threats. For many, the combination of internal priorities and external firmness explains the high confidence numbers.
Editor’s Note: For decades, former presidents have been all talk and no action. Now, Donald Trump is eliminating the threat from Iran once and for all.




